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The Strategic Benefits of Advanced Strategy Intelligence

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Company news and financial news, analysis, opinion and data covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic growth across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the area forecasted to outperform its 2025 performance despite soft oil incomes and continuous global unpredictabilities. According to a new Oxford Economics research briefing, GCC GDP growth is expected to rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 percent in 2025, reflecting a durable nonenergy sector, strong consumer dynamics, and gradually enhancing oil output.

The newest forecasts recommend that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to restore momentum, buoyed by enhancing domestic need and a broadly stable international background. The report highlights GCC consumers as a significant motorist of the area's economic efficiency heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine disposable earnings are expected to sustain a surge in consumer costs across the Gulf.

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Credit development is likewise anticipated to stay raised as access to financial services expands. With GCC reserve banks anticipated to follow awaited US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the area's dollar pegs, borrowing costs are most likely to decline, offering homes and organizations further impetus to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's resilience, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a combined picture.

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This might weigh on firsthalf growth, particularly for economies more depending on oil extraction. Oxford Economics forecasts a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten up and worldwide demand enhances. Qatar, meanwhile, sticks out as a local outperformer, with significant growths in gas production and exports expected to lift its total economic performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan prepares for a 6 percent cut in capital investment as the kingdom aims to narrow its fiscal deficit by 2 percentage points. The report notes that these cuts might not materialise fully if countercyclical spending steps are activated to support development. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are expected to continue advancing their development agendas.

Regardless of shortterm risks tied to oil rates and international demand, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is defined by strength in basics: resistant customers, robust nonenergy sectors, enhancing oil dynamics, and strategic financial preparation. With these elements aligning, the area is preparing for among its most well balanced periods of growth in the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP growth.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are anticipated to remain resilient in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly steady international economy, according to an analysis. In its most current report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the real gdp of the GCC area is expected to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the projected 4 percent this year.

We expect GCC development will rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center said that economic development in the region is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the region's continued development towards diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC customers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are expected to outperform their worldwide peers. Oxford Economics stated that low inflation has actually assisted protect growth in real disposable income, which has also been supported by strong need and very low joblessness rates."We do not imagine any let-up, as federal governments continue to promote greater foreign direct financial investment in their push to diversify their economies far from oil and gas," the report added.

In December, the IMF even more said that heading inflation is expected to remain listed below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and somewhat above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is expected to stay raised in the GCC region during 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and lending is projected to be supported by further cuts in interest rates."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC reserve banks are expected to follow the United States Federal Reserve by easing financial policy even more, which in turn will decrease financial obligation servicing expenses and improve non reusable earnings and need," said the report.

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