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To reverse a decade of weakening total element efficiency, local labour market policy is shifting from basic job production to managing active workforce shifts. Federal governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up employees for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more typical as companies integrate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are heightening their concentrate on expense discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned properties in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money tactical deficits, the focus stays on reinforcing non-oil income structures.
PwC Middle East economic policy and technique partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now concentrated on delivery. In 2026, the concern is enhancing economic durability through more protected trade and investment relationships, reliable AI release, handled labor force shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented global environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resistant domestic demand and restored financial investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outshine most international regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising investment in technology and AI-related facilities.
Oil profits will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is expected to increase again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by industrial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of reduced foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate additional financial investment. The financial deficit is forecasted to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil prices, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to relieve inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also positioned for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourism, trade and financial services remain crucial growth chauffeurs, supported by population growth and continual domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to get again in the second half of 2026, complementing ongoing investment in facilities, technology and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has actually come in building varied, durable and globally competitive economies.
How UAE Firms Are Battling the Great Talent MigrationScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining speed, supported by robust demand and rising investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from strong domestic principles, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and sustained diversity efforts.
What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological modification, though that acceleration is genuine, however rather a fundamental shift in how business envisage their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more profound change.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss duty, and add to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal startups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with global company results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most significant tactical recalibration in the GCC design's development.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 meetings between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what follows, including the growth and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing function in international networks of capital and trade.
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